Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts

Saturday, April 24, 2010

What We Learned and Who Fell/Why


What we learned? (Who is move-able?)
1. The picks traded for Brady Quinn and the Tebow selection mean that Brady Quinn projects as a career backup in the NFL
2. The selection of C.J. Spiller means that Marshawn Lynch should be packing his bags for a new stadium
3.The non-inclusion of Darren Sproles or Shawne Merriman in the Miami (Ryan Matthews) deal means that San Diego isn’t quite as talented as it wants to be.  Larry English and Jacob Hester aren’t as advanced as they could be. . . It also could mean that Miami isn’t quite a playoff team yet
4. Jacksonville didn’t do their due diligence. . . They could’ve gotten both Alaulau and Tebow for the value of their 10th pick.
5. Osi Umenyoria is on the block, though it isn’t being said.
6. Josh McDaniels thinks he has it figured out. McDaniels manipulated the draft board around the idea of selecting 2 of Tebow, Demariyus Thomas, and Maurkice Pouncey. He did it perfectly. These guys are all projects with immense upside, looks like he thinks he is the next Belicheck, no idea where he learned that skill set.
7.  The Rams may not have it all figured out.  Reports were that the Rams considered Bradford, Suh, McCoy or Jimmy Clausen as the top overall pick.  While the first 3 went right off the bat, Clausen is still available the day later. Why does this matter? Because Mike Holmgren offered his first rd pick with most of their picks this year and some next year for Bradford at #1. If the Rams evaluated Clausen that high, they should call Holmgren now, get all those picks, and take Clausen, who they would’ve rated just slightly lower than Bradford.
8. The fallen first round talents show that tape and character are major deciding factors

Friday, April 23, 2010

Who Fell? Where May they go?

Who fell?
Jimmy Clausen- Clausen’s personality is polarizing, in part because he doesn’t realize his ego. While there is some concern about his frame and athleticism, I don’t believe that it is the main reason that teams have passed on him at this point. I think the major issue is Clausen’s coaching, Clausen seems to take tips as peer advice and his upside seems limited. While he accurately described his reads as a QB, he did throw his WR under the bus. This kind of behavior will make receivers nonchalant on routes for a QB that doesn’t respect them. I think his upside is limited by his coaching in some respects, but he can be more accurate and improve his intangibiles in a veteran locker room.
(Minnesota, Buffalo, Oakland)

Taylor Mays- Last year Mays was considered a top 10 pick, but he returned to school believing he had a chance at another national championship and the money would always be there. . . He was wrong. USC failed to live up to hype and he was exposed in coverage, looking overaggressive at times and lost at others. This dropped his stock as in workouts and bowls he failed to ease any concerns about instincts or coverage ability. Mays needs a scheme that will let him play in the box, or force him to be disciplined as a deep safety.
(SF, SEA, PHI)

Carlos Dunlap- Dunlap fell after a mediocre season and a suspension after a suspicion of a DUI. This cost him his bowl game. Dunlap is very athletic and can be a good power end in a 4-3. However, his tape and rap sheet are big question marks.
(SEA, NO, CIN)


Colt McCoy- Colt McCoy had an outside shot of being a late 1st round pick, but he lacks size and deep arm strength.  While considered a fall, it was not much of a shock that he was not snagged.
(Oak, BUF, Cle)

Sergio Kindle- Kindle was a major fall that was unexpected. Kindle was not as productive as his athleticism would allow him to be and some reports say he might have had an injury in physicals. I think it is largely due to his ability to only fit in a 3-4 at the next level. For whatever reason, he should be a steal.
(StL, Cle, KC, Mia)

Roger Saffold- Saffold is a good prospect from a small school and was a fringe first rounder. He should be taken early day 2.
(Oak, BUF, KC)

Charles Brown- He’s athletic OT but has only recently added weight to his frame, he would be an excellent fit for those utilizing a zone blocking system, as he is an ex-tight end.

Bruce Campbell- He’s an athletic Offensive tackle that would really excel in zone blocking, as he is faster than most TE’s and is chiseled. He doesn’t show much on tape and was labeled as a likely bust

Brian Price- Price was underwhelming in workouts, but is young. He has an inconsistent motor on tape. But when he is on, he is exceptional at his age.

NFL Draft Round 1 Analysis and Mock Draft Round 2

NFL Draft Day 1 Analysis

Pick Team Player Position Height Weight College

1 Rams Bradford, Sam QB 6'4" 236 Oklahoma

-The Rams may have entertained the thought of moving down from the top spot briefly; however it became evident recently that Bradford was worth the pick. Not only did he address his critics by successfully adding weight while recovering, but he also brings an excitement to a franchise lacking a selling wow factor (excluding Steven Jackson and somewhat OJ Atogwe of course) since the days of the Greatest Show on Turf. Furthermore, of the franchises needing a quarterback, the Rams were in the best position to keep him upright as they have invested significant money into their offensive line, as well as already picked their LT of the future in Jason Smith last year.

2 Lions Suh, Ndamukong DT 6'4" 307 Nebraska

-So much for the Lions putting out rumors about considering Russell Okung at this pick; Suh was on the phone 10 seconds after Bradford started taking pictures with the commissioner. While in the past the Lions have made poor drafting decisions (Charles Rogers, Mike Williams, etc…), they should not miss on this pick. Suh proved throughout his career at Nebraska that he is a dominating interior presence, and his athletic abilities and competitive spirit showed through at the combine as he wowed scouts in every drill, and more shockingly preformed every drill. The addition of Suh will provide the Motor City with a rock in the middle of their D line for years to come.

3 Buccaneers McCoy, Gerald DT 6'4" 295 Oklahoma

-Talk about a player to scheme match made in heaven, McCoy is a DT custom built for the Buccaneers Tampa 2 system. Predicated on the front 4 getting pressure and forcing the QB into mistakes, Tampa’s defense has been severely lacking the last couple seasons as it was anchored up front by the likes of ex-Viking Chris Hovan and Stylez White. McCoy will force teams to double team him as he wrecks havoc in the middle of the line making everyone else’s life (who is on defense) a lot easier. While not as sound against the run as Suh, McCoy is not asked to be in the Tampa 2.

4 Redskins Williams, Trent OT 6'5" 315 Oklahoma

-Many people projected this pick to be Russell Okung, or the biggest rumor leading into the draft was Eric Berry, however in the end it became the fast rising Trent Williams. While Williams showed inconsistency throughout his senior year, he flashed incredible feet and athleticism in the combine while proving versatile throughout the season by playing both tackle positions and even some center in a pinch. His potential is unquestioned and being brought into a zone blocking system in Washington should allow him the best chance to succeed in the NFL.

5 Chiefs Berry, Eric SS 6'0" 211 Tennessee

-While many wrote off Berry to the Chiefs because of Scott Pioli’s statements alluding to that he does not think the safety position is valuable enough to be drafted this high; it was all a smoke screen in the end. Take it from a true ex-patriot in Pioli to play mind games while grabbing the most highly regarded defensive player in all the draft. Berry will step in day 1 and along with Brandon Flowers, Derrick Johnson, and Tyson Jackson, anchor a defense stockpiling solid top 10 talents.

6 Seahawks Okung, Russell OT 6'5" 307 Oklahoma State

-Talk about a stroke of luck for the Seahawks. Once considered a lock to go number 2 to the Lions, Okung experienced a mini slide to the ecstatic Seahawks at 6 due to no fault of his own. While last season Andre Smith fell because of character/weight concerns, Okung fell because scouts fell in love with Trent Williams. Okung proved his worth by impressing at the combine, his pro day, and reportedly in interviews making him a steal for Seattle at 6. Seahawks offensive line coach has already reported that Okung will start from day 1 at left tackle, where he has some big shoes to fill in the retiring perennial pro-bowl tackle Walter Jones.

7 Browns Haden, Joe CB 5'11" 193 Florida

-Mike Holmgren is nothing short of a straight shooter, this became evident during the draft process as all of his interviews revealed his draft strategy. By the time the draft rolled around it was perfectly clear that the Browns wanted Berry at 7 and if he was not there Hayden was their guy. Hayden gives the Browns a dynamic young corner duo as he teams with UTEP/USC alum Eric Wright in a division filled with wide receiver talent. Hayden’s stock may have slipped a bit due to his original poor 40 time at the combine (4.57) however his running of an unofficial 4.41 at the Florida pro day rebounded his stock to its original level of franchise shut down corner.

8 Raiders McClain, Rolando LB 6'3" 254 Alabama

-While a shock to some, in reality it should be a shock to no one. Before the whispers of Anthony Davis, Jason Pierre-Paul, Bruce Campbell, or even Jimmy Clausen began people thought of Rolando McClain as a Raider. McClain is a physical marvel at 6’3” and 254 lbs and has exceptional athleticism for his size which allows him to pass the Al Davis test. However, unlike the selection of DHB last season, McClain is a solid selection for the silver and black, as it seems they are beginning the transition away from the 4-3 to a 3-4 defense. The additions of Kameron Wimbley (3-4 OLB) and Quentin Groves (should be a 3-4 OLB) signal a transition and adding McClain along side of Thomas Howard and Kirk Morrison gives the Raiders one of the top linebacking cores in the NFL. As mentioned in a previous post, watch out for those Raiders if they learn how to draft.

9 Bills Spiller, C.J. RB 5'11" 196 Clemson

-This was the first true head scratcher of the draft for us. Not because Spiller was not worth the pick, far from it, merely just because of how it does not address the Bills needs. With Anthony Davis, still on the board and the emergence of Fred Jackson last season the selection of Spiller can be questioned, however, the trading of Marshawn Lynch has been whispered for weeks now and this may signal the end of the gold-toothed warrior’s time in New York. Don’t take this as a bash session on the selection of Spiller however, far from it, Spiller is a game-breaking prospect on an offense desperately needing explosion as their best threat (Lee Evans) lacks a QB who can throw him the ball. Spiller immediately increases the danger factor of the Bills offense while immediately making the life of whatever QB they choose to start easier as he has soft hands and will be a nice check down option.

10 Jaguars Alualu, Tyson DE 6'3" 295 California

-This became the second head scratcher of the draft, but not because of who they chose, more because of where. Alualu has been coveted by the Jaguars since the Senior Bowl according to multiple sources; however his was still considered a lower first round prospect. But the Jaguars have never been a team to listen to the value of players over their scouting (over trading up for Derrick Harvey, etc…), and Alualu has his upside. He can play both interior rush DT as well as defensive end when called upon, and he has a motor that is nonstop. He reminds us of Peko of the Bengals (no not just because of the hair) because of his nonstop motor and aggressive play style. If he is able to spark the Jaguar’s defense like Peko for the Bengals, it may be Gene Smith who has the last laugh instead of Todd McShay.

11 49ers (From Bears through Broncos) Davis, Anthony OT 6'5" 323 Rutgers

-The 49ers leapfrogged the Dolphins seemingly because their pick was on the trade block and they felt that other franchises would be enamored enough with Davis to trade up and select him. We tend to agree with this as Davis has incredible upside and will immediately upgrade San Francisco’s right tackle position.

12 Chargers (From Dolphins) Mathews, Ryan RB 6'0" 218 Fresno State

-The Chargers realized they loved having a franchise running back in LT and decided that they would like to have another one. They decided to “mortgage the farm” trading away a myriad of picks including their Charlie Whitehurst loot in order to leap over the Seahawks and select California native Ryan Matthews. Matthews’ one cut style and subtle explosion should allow him to succeed in San Diego along side of lightning-bug Darren Sprolles helping make the Chargers’ running attack dangerous once more.

13 Eagles (From 49ers through Broncos) Graham, Brandon DE 6'1" 268 Michigan

- When the Eagles traded up to 13 the world seemed to think it was for Earl Thomas because of Andy Reid’s open love for the Texas safety. However, they fooled us all and added another pass rusher to their already impressive arsenal of quarterback nightmares. Graham fits perfectly into the Eagles scheme being an undersized, rush-first defensive end with a quick first step and the ability to run down a QB from behind. He should be a situational pass rusher in his first season behind the likes of Daryl Tapp and Trent Cole, however his powerful base and motor may allow him to be a solid Philly end for years to come.

14 Seahawks (From Broncos) Thomas, Earl SS 5'10" 208 Texas

-Because of the Seahawks apparent love for the big receiver, many figured this selection would be Dez Bryant. However, Pete Carroll and John Schnider must have had defensive plans in the work as they snag ball hawking safety Earl Thomas. While undersized, Thomas brings an understanding of the game, a knack for getting to the ball, gifted athleticism, and a serious pop in his tackles which had him graded by some over even Eric Berry. Thomas will bring an immediate impact to a 30th ranked Seahawk pass defense (which struggled to force turnovers) next season as he continues to increase in size and strength (he is only 20 years old!), as well as experience.

15 Giants Pierre-Paul, Jason DE 6'5" 270 South Florida

-Do the Giants really need another pass rusher? Apparently the answer is yes, yes they do. JPP proved himself an athletic freak with upside higher than the moon this past offseason, and it landed him behind another amazingly athletic small school player, Osi Umenyiora. This is a perfect situation for JPP as, while freakishly high in potential; he is also raw having only played 1 season of high level college football (junior college transfer). By the time he is ready to be a serious contributor to the Giants, Osi may have moved on, Kiwi may have fizzled out, or Justin Tuck may have been moved, who knows. But as Jim Johnson would say (RIP) it never hurts to have enough pass rushers, especially in a division with a Manning, Romo, McNabb, and the young Kobb.

16 Titans Morgan, Derrick DE 6'3" 266 Georgia Tech

- What better a position to find themselves in that to be drafting the most polished pass rusher the draft has to offer! The Titans lose their aging and frail franchise end in free agency (Kyle Vanden Bosch) only to replace him with a younger, more physically gifted end in Derrick Morgan. Morgan should prove to be a starter from day 1 and bring a much needed presence up front.

17 49ers (From Panthers) Iupati, Mike OG 6'5" 331 Idaho

-What a day for the 49ers offense. First they get potentially the highest upside tackle in the draft, and then they gather the unanimous highest upside guard in the draft! Iupati is a special blend of footwork and controlled rage making him a perfect left guard for the 49er’s as they will try to run Gore down the throats of their opponents. Teamed with Staley, Richal, and Davis the 49ers went from needy to downright greedy with offensive line talent after just the first round.

18 Steelers Pouncey, Maurkice C 6'4" 304 Florida

-This one was no shock to the football world as the Steelers made it no surprise that they would love to pounce on the top center prospect in the draft. Being that center was a position of desperate need for a young Steelers line, and with how thin center was in this draft class, Pouncey was a must have in Pittsburgh. He should help solidify the interior of that offensive line, helping Mendehall to run wild this upcoming season.

19 Falcons Weatherspoon, Sean LB 6'1" 239 Missouri

-The Falcons made it no secret that they were in the market for an upgrade at OLB. Whether that is for Clint Ingram or Mike Peterson only time will tell however smart money says Peterson because of his age. Weatherspoon is a top notch prospect with both solid physical play, as well as leadership intangibles which Mike Smith loves. Sean should prove a nice addition to a young Falcons defense, hopefully replacing the athletic but oft troubled Michael Boley who looked to be a budding star before being allowed to leave to New York because of the headaches he caused.

20 Texans Jackson, Kareem CB 5'10" 196 Alabama

-This pick was surprising because many had linked the Texans to Boise State’s Kyle Wilson; however the lure of high upside and the fact that Jackson faced consistently better high talent than Wilson must have been too much. The Crimson Tide alum surged up boards during the last month from second to mid round project to top 20 pick. Such a movement could make some nervous, however Jackson will be given every possibility to replace Dunta Robinson as the Texans’ top corner. 

21 Bengals Gresham, Jermaine TE 6'5" 261 Oklahoma

-While the Bengals picked Chase Coffman last season to be their next receiving threat, it was evident by the fact that not even the loss of their top 2 tight ends could get him on the field, that Chase was not the answer. The Bengals immediately upgrade their offense here by selecting the top tight end prospect in the draft giving Carson Palmer another weapon in an increasingly dangerous offense.

22 Broncos (From Patriots) Thomas, Demaryius WR 6'3" 224 Georgia Tech

-What a slap in the face this must have been for Brandon Marshall, as well as how unfortunate for Dez Bryant. After being shipped off to the Dolphins for chump change (relative to his talent, not his baggage), Marshall’s heir apparent is selected in the first round in RAW receiver Demaryius Thomas. They have many similar qualities as they both block exceedingly well, and both have size and exceptional speed. For Dez Bryant, looks like all those character concerns that he was so confused about couldn’t be all lies or he would have been chosen here. In an interview after the selection, Demaryius said that Josh McDaniels told him they wanted a, “Good Guy”, consider that the ultimate Bronco Revenge.

23 Packers Bulaga, Bryan OT 6'5" 314 Iowa

-What a match made in heaven. While it must have been unsettling for Bryan Bulaga to spend all of his time in the Green Room, it was well worth the wait. The Packers have been desperately searching for answers along their offensive line and recently resigned veteran Chad Clifton to a 3 year (overpaid) extension, however his injury history makes him unlikely to play 3 full seasons. Bulaga should be able to step in at RT day 1 and help protect the #1 most valuable asset in all of Green Bay, Aaron Rogers.

24 Cowboys (From Eagles through Broncos and Patriots) Bryant, Dez WR 6'2" 225 Oklahoma State

-Pack your bags and wave goodbye to your home state Mr. Roy Williams, because this draft pick has sealed your fate as a cap casualty by next season (unless of course your hands seemingly reappear next season). Dez Bryant fell hard because of character concerns, but when has that ever been a problem for Jerry Jones? Bryant will help fill the void on the Cowboys left by TO, and the void in Jerry’s conscience left by not drafting Randy Moss all those years ago. Dez should step in immediately at the #3 receiver spot behind #1 Miles Austin and #2 Roy Williams (simply because of his salary), however don’t be shocked that if Dez plays well, he could be the #2 by season’s end.

25 Broncos (From Ravens) Tebow, Tim QB 6'3" 236 Florida

-And the mystery of where Tim Tebow will go is finally solved. While raw, Tebow still has the size and intangibles which scouts look for in a QB and will get a chance to develop under Josh McDaniels. Don’t expect Tebow to see the field any time soon however, as he needs developing badly and the Broncos also have Kyle Orton and Brady Quinn on their roster. This can’t be a good sign for the shelf life of Quinn.

26 Cardinals Williams, Dan DT 6'2" 327 Tennessee

-Without having to move up a single spot the Cardinals are able to snag the overwhelmingly considered the #1 nose tackle prospect in the Draft, and J Lo’s pick for the Dolphins. Dan Williams should step in day 1 and help replace departed and senior nose tackle Bryan Robinson, allowing Arizona to finally admit that Gabe Watson and Alan Branch were both failed picks and they simply won’t work at nose (even though they are both for sure big enough).

27 Patriots (From Cowboys) McCourty, Devin CB 5'11" 193 Rutgers

-The Patriots have never been a team to pass up the opportunity to stockpile draft picks, as their time tested method of quantity and production over upside has not failed them yet. McCourty, while not a ball-hawk is a consistent player who graded out exactly where he was picked, just like the Patriots like it. He should contribute as a Nickel corner his first season, however with some time, he could team up alongside recently resigned Leigh Bodden to form a formidable cornerback tandem.

28 Dolphins (From Chargers) Odrick, Jared DT 6'5" 304 Penn State

-Many though this spot was a dream come true for Miami as Sergio Kindle had fallen hard and would be available here to replace recently departed legend Jason Taylor. However, as is usually the case in the NFL draft, expect the unexpected. Even with young Phillip Merhling and Kendal Langford entrenched as solid ends of the future, Bill Parcels goes out and gets another high motor high effort defensive lineman to build depth for Miami. While not flashy Odrick will bring even more hustle and consistency to the Dolphins and will be a nice consistent line piece for years to come.

29 Jets Wilson, Kyle CB 5'10" 194 Boise State

-And the rich get richer. Not only does Rex Ryan have the best corner in the NFL in Darrell Revis, he also recently acquired interception extraordinaire Antonio Cromartie from the Chargers. Add Kyle Wilson, who some considered to be the #1 corner prospect in the NFL and you get the best corner backing set in the NFL. This pick made sense as, when you blitz everyone, your corners have to be good. Peyton manning picked on Donald Strickland, in the AFC championship, Rex Ryan wants to be sure that does not happen again.

30 Lions (From Vikings) Best, Jahvid RB 5'10" 199 California

-We here at the FSB had heard many rumors that the Lions were hot for Best before the draft; however we had no idea that they felt it necessary to trade back into the first round to ensure he was there. Best, a Spiller clone, provides incredible value for where he was picked, if he can stay healthy. He is the perfect change of pace back to grinder back Kevin Smith, and provides another new game breaking weapon around Matthew Stafford along with Tony Scheffler, Brandon Pettigrew, and Nate Burleson.

31 Colts Hughes, Jerry DE 6'2" 255 TCU

-The Superbowl is an unfortunate place for a team to learn where it needs depth the most; however this was the case with the Colts. The injury to Dwight Freeney hurt the Colts in the second half as his ankle tight end back up during the break rendering him ineffective as a pass-rusher. Hughes, built in the same mold as Freeney, will provide the Colts with another pass rusher in case of injury, as well as an heir apparent, as Freeney and Mathis are both not exactly young.

32 Saints Robinson, Patrick CB 5'11" 190 Florida State

-This draft pick comes from the same school of thought as the Jets selection of Kyle Wilson. While not as talented as Wilson, Robinson is a sold athletic corner who excels in man to man coverage which is exactly what the Saints need as they too like to bring the house every down. Jabari Greer and Tracy Porter proved their worth last season, however it never hurts to have more talent in your secondary as the NFL becomes increasingly pass oriented.  Furthermore, this move gives the Saints the ability to kick promising first round Corner Malcom Jenkins to free safety just in case Darren Sharper decides not to return to New Orleans.

Sunday, April 18, 2010

NFL Mock Draft Rd 1

In celebration of the pcoming NFL Draft, the FSB has decided to release its final version of the Mock Draft for your reading pleasure!


StL- Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
The Rams need a Franchise QB in order to stabilize their constantly crumbling franchise both financially and talent wise on the field.  At least with the likes of Jason Brown and Jason Smith the Rams have the base of a solid young offensive line to help protect Bradford, Leaving who he will throw to as the only question.
Det- Ndamukong Suh , DT, Nebraska          
Whie many see Russell Okung as a premium pick because of their need to protect Matt Stafford's blindside, it is possible to argue that Suh is the most talented player in the entire draft class.  I doubt former Defensive Coordinator Jim Schwartz could pass up such a dynamic talent to plug his leaky front 7.
TB- Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
The Tampa-2 Defense is based on defensive line pressure, which the current Tampa line fails to create.  McCoy may not be able to hold against the run like Suh, but with his quick feet, McCoy can sure pressure the QB.
Was- Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St.                   
The Donovan McNabb trade solidified Okung as the Redskins pick seeing as there was no longer a need to trade with the Rams to take Bradford, and it is seemingly a consensus that Claussen is not a top 10 talent. 
KC- Brian Bulaga. OT, Iowa                                     
 The Chiefs are difficult to predict. With no prefect value fit, the Chiefs could move down and take Dan Williams or Rolando McClain, who would be great fits in a 3-4 defense.  If the chiefs stay at this position, they can decide between Berry, an ultimate “Ed Reed” type safety or Brian Bulaga, a gritty technically-sound offensive tackle.  They choose Bulaga, who has better positional value
Sea- Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
The Seahawks have a lot of needs, however with Walter Jones seemingly retiring and last season proving that Sean Locklear is not starting LT worthy, Left Tackle is now top priority.  This is only emphasized by the Charlie Whitehurst trade who the Seahawks see as the QB of the future.  Trent Williams is highly athletic and versatile enough to play all 5 positions along the offensive line...maximizing the likelihood of success in the zone blocking system, and minimizing bust potential.
Cle- Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
Cleveland is lacking talent on both sides of the ball.  While Clausen might be a good fit, Mike Holmgren didn’t seem too enamored with taking him early.  The Browns would love a play-maker in the secondary to try and negate their lack of constant defensive pressure and/or spotty CB coverage ability (even with the addition of Sheldon Brown).  
Oak-Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida            
At some point, we grow tired of giving Oakland an overrated athletic prospect.  So, instead of having theim draft Maryland's OT Bruce Campbell, a 2nd round prospect (which rumors state is still VERY possible), we decided to give them an equally freak-like athlete rush end in Jason Pierre Paul.  Teamed with Richard Seymour, JPP could actually succeed in Oakland, where Campbell would have a much more difficult time.     
Buf- Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
Yes Yes we know this pick seems to be unlikely, however the fit is too perfect to let him slide past.  While Buffalo says they are content to start Brian Brohm or Trent Edwards at QB, we thing that that is quite a smoke screen.  Claussen will bring a swagger and a talent level to Buffalo at the QB position that has been lacking for quite some time, and being that this draft class is so shallow for QBs and so deep for LTs, it would make more sense to snag Clausen now and a value tackle in round 2.
Jax- Earl Thomas, S, Texas    
The Jags are trying to win now, as the team is struggling to create a strong fan base.  The player that could help the Jags immediately is the ball-hawking safety from Texas, Earl Thomas.  He is versatile and can cover, which will allow SS Reggie Nelson some coverage insurance when he goes for his big matador style hits.
Den (Chi)- Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
The idea of taking Dez Bryant seems slightly insane because of why the Broncos traded Brandon Marshall, however Dez Bryant may be lazy but he does not bring the legal issues that Marshall did.  Furthermore, does anyone really see an Eddie Royal/Jabar Gaffney starting receiver tandem on day 1 (especially considering the Broncos are desperately trying to deal TE Tony Scheffler).  
Mia- Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee               
Jason Ferguson is old and suspended for the first 8 games.  The Dolphins need Dan Williams, who would start immediately and could blossom into the premiere nose tackle.  A franchise nose tackle is hard to find, especially in this draft class so when you have one on the board and you need one, you don't waste any time selecting him. 
SF (Car)- Joe Haden, CB, Florida     
The Niners main problems are from an aging secondary, and a mediocre offensive line.  They will decide between Haden and SS Taylor Mays, but Haden’s production is hard to ignore.  Teamed with Shawntae Spencer and potentially Nate Clements/Tarrell Brown (depending on if Clements is moved to FS or released because of his ridiculous salary), the Niners could have a dangerous secondary. 
Sea (Den)- Derrick Morgan, DE, Geogia Tech                      
After adding an offensive tackle, the Seahawks will look to add a play-maker on either side of the ball.  They will choose from CB Haden, SS Mays, RB C.J. Spiller, and DE Derek Morgan.  However, the exodus of Patrick Kerney and Darryl Tapp and Pete Carroll’s defensive mind, give Seattle the most polished and high motor pass rusher of the rookie class.Morgan could step in immediately along side of Lawrence Jackson an immediately upgrade an Anemic Seattle pass rush. 
NYG- Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama      
The Giants need of a middle linebacker has been well documented.  However, I think they could also consider the rising Jared Odrick who would fit the new Tampa-2 Defense.  Ultimately, I think it will be hard to pass on McClain’s instincts though.
Ten- Everson Griffin, DE, USC
The Titans need to improve the pass rush after the loss of Kyle VandenBosh. While they apparently covet Jason Pierre-Paul because of his likeness to "The Freak", Everson Griffin's combine performance proved him to be every bit the athletic wonder the Titans traditionally love (Chris Henry, Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt).
SF- Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers        
The 49ers have a difficult decision in picking between a lineman to push them into playoff contention or the explosive home-run RB the fans want.  Ultimately, it is easier to take Davis now and wait for Joe McKnight, or Dexter McCluster in Rd 2.  This will help boost the value of the pick as well as avoiding angering RB Frank Gore.
Pit- Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida
The Steelers have had a difficult off-season with the legal issues with QB Ben Roethlisberger and WR Santonio Holmes, who was subsequently traded.  The addition of Pouncey will allow the Steelers to improve their pass protection and potentially their running game as word on the street is the Steelers desperately need an upgrade at center. Also, after Pouncey, there are no center prospects worth more than a mid round draft pick.  They also have had a difficult time replace Bryan McFadden who left to Arizona in free agency last year, so a physical corner like Kyle Wilson could be considered.
Atl- Sergio Kindle, DE/OLB, Texas 
The Falcons were lacking in pass rush and could upgrade the aging Mike Peterson at outside linebacker.  The falcons could use Kindle in a way similar to his former college teammate Brian Orakpo was used in Washington.  Don'd discount the possibility of Sean Witherspoon from Mizzou however, the Falcons have also shown a lot of interest in him during this pre-draft period. 
Hou- Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
The Texans will seek to add a CB to replace the departed Dunta Robinson.  Kyle Wilson adds both the physicality and coverage ability which the Texans love in their franchise corners.                     
Cin- CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson
The Bengals have an aging workhorse in Cedric Benson, the addition of Spiller would be insurance and a change of pace.  While Bernard Scott is still there for the Bengals, he is not a true change of pace from Benson, and Spiller would add another weapon to an offense whose QB is seemingly deteriorating before our very eyes.  Spiller falls due to a lack of perceived need and position importance by teams.
NE- Brandon Graham, DE/OLB, Michigan
Dez Bryant needs a foundation of support for his game to improve, and the Pats need a deep threat.
GB- Mike Iupati, G/T, Idaho
The Packers could use some youth in the defensive backfield, but offensive line depth is more of an imminent need.  Iupati has the raw talent to become the next Steve Hutchinson paving the way for Ryan Grant's success, however he is also light enough on his feet to protect Aaron Rogers in the pocket.
Phi- Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama
The Eagles need Safety help as they were unable to successfully replace Brian Dawkins last year with Macho Harris.  However, the McNabb trade will allow them to address that need later and go best player available here replacing Sheldon Brown.  Jackson brings the physical island coverage ability which is essential to succeed on a Philly team which blitzes every single down. 
Bal- Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Todd Heap is aging, fragile, and is no longer the answer to help young Joe Flacco.  The addition of Gresham would allow Flacco another safety valve if he is unable to find newly acquired target WR Anquan Boldin. 
Ari- Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
Weatherspoon could play inside in Arizona’s 3-4 defense and replace new Dolphin, Karlos Dansby, who was also an outside linebacker in college.  Weatherspoon will help re-inject the toughness and leadership lost when Dansby departed.  
Dal- Taylor Mays, S, USC
Dallas will make a splash, they always do.  We feel Jerry Jones is moving in the right direction by getting younger and moving away from Ken Hamlin and Flozell Adams (over-aggressive physicality, slow-feet and age) however their release leaves holes in both the secondary and the LT position.  Dallas addresses their Hamlin release with the addition of hard hitting Mays, and will rely on the left tackle depth of this class and/or their faith in LT Doug Free to replace Hotel Flozell.  
SD- Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno State
San Diego replaces LT with a productive under the radar Matthews.  He has phenomenal vision and burst and screams rookie success like Matt Forte before him.  San Diego needs a running back and stays home for a quality pick in Fresno's Ran Matthews. 
NYJ- Jerry Hughes, DE/OLB, TCU
The Jets would love Hughes’ athletic pass-rush ability in Rex-Ryan’s aggressive 3-4, and he would have a great mentor to learn from in former college DE's Calvin Pace and Jason Taylor (we assume on Taylor of course, it seems immanent)
Min- Devin McCourty, CB, Rutgers
The Vikings would love a tall talented corner to help them compete in their playoff run against top wide receivers.  Furthermore, McCourty helps them forget that Antoine Winfield is 33 years old and declining, and that Cedric Griffin tore his ACL in the playoffs last season and will most likely be a PUP list candidate next season. 
Ind- Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State          
The Colts love high motor high effort guy along their front 7 as shown by Freeny and Mathis.  Oddrick is just that and will bring an immediate upgrade over Dan Muir and Antonio Johnson while also giving them a promising DT tandem for years to come in Odrick and Fili Moala.
NO- Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida                                           
The release of Charles Grant leaves a spot on the roster for another trouble making DE.  Dunlap has incredible talent and would be in the perfect position to learn under similarly sized and talented DE Will Smith and newly added (short contract might we add) Alex Brown.

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

NFL Free Agency in Review (Pt 2 of 4)

The Bad Signings 1) Larry Johnson, Running Back, Washington Redskins (Signed 3 years $3.5MM, could reach $12MM)
Of course after I praise them earlier over a potentially strong signing for their franchise, I must curse them later for yet another potentially boneheaded Redskin free agent move. This signing would have been a showstopper a mere two seasons ago as Larry was still considered a top level halfback, however nowadays LJ is thought of as someone who lacks explosion/tackle breaking ability and brings boatloads of off field baggage. Already owning one aging runner in Clinton Portis, why bring in another when it is unlikely that their presence will improve your running game. While LJ’s contract is cheap (assuming his incentives are difficult to reach unless he is playing at a high level), he is still eating up a spot on the depth chart where the Redskins could use an explosive threat out of the backfield like Cal’s Javhid Best other such type complimentary runners.
2) Antwaan Randle-El, Wide Receiver, Pittsburgh Steelers (Signed 3 years)
For a team with such a solid front office, this signing truly is a head scratcher. The Steelers have a very solid receiving core 1-3 with your brightest future possibly being your number 3 Mike Wallace who showed explosion and talent. The signing of Randle-El doesn’t seem to have much of a purpose than to run Limas Sweed out of town, however from recent speculative reports, it seems that Randle-El’s contract is for more than a 4th receiver is worth. While the FSB is not against brining in such a talent, we are a bit confused on why you would want to take snaps away from such a bright young offensive player for a veteran who is not nearly the game changer Wallace can be.  Not to mention the Steelers announced the signing of Arnaz Battle the same day, who is more than capable of being a number four receiver.  It seems like Randle-El was brought home to be a gadget player.
3) Justin Bannan, Defensive End, Denver Broncos (Signed 5 year, $22MM, $6.3MM signing bonus, $10.5MM Guaranteed)
This is not a knock on Justin Bannan in any way, the former Raven is the definition of hard working and may help bring more of an attitude to the Broncos front. However, the last thing the Broncos needed was to invest a large chunk of their finances to a 30+ year old defensive end, which Bannan is. The Denver defensive front desperately needed a youth injection last season as it faded terribly down the stretch last season and signing Bannan to a large starter-level contract while releasing Kenny Peterson is not the answer to the Broncos problems. While Bannan can be an effective starter as a 3-4 end, he is a better rotational end as he generates very little penetration and may wear down a bit against the run as Peterson did last season due to his age.
4) Jarvis Green, Defensive End, Denver Broncos (Signed 4 years, $20MM, $7MM Guaranteed)
The Broncos make yet another appearance on this list for the signing of yet another aging defensive end. While Jarvis Green can step in right away and perform as he played in the same defensive scheme in New England with Coach McDaniels, Jarvis Green is also 31 years old and has not been an effective pass rusher for the past two seasons! His recent performance has shown signs of decline and did not warrant such an expensive contract, furthermore, as stated above the last thing the Broncos need is an aging defensive end who will do little to help Elvis Dumervil jumpstart the lackluster Denver pass-rush. If the Broncos were a team which was a couple pieces away from being serious contenders this signing would have made sense, however plugging holes and getting older when you should be getting younger is never the strategy to go for unless you like long painful/inevitable rebuilding processes.
5) David Carr, Quarterback, San Francisco 49ers (Signed 2 years)
Well maybe someone within the SF front office believes that the team with the most number 1 overall draft picks has the best chance at winning in the NFL. While Carr had high promise coming out of Fresno State, a history of being constantly sacked and having his mechanics constantly tinkered with have created the shell of a QB that the 49ers acquired just recently. Carr has the talent to be a solid back up QB, however he is highly inconsistent which makes him difficult to trust behind injury prone Alex Smith. Furthermore, why bring in a question mark to back up Smith when you already have a consistent back-up who has proven that he can win with the 49ers roster?

Monday, March 15, 2010

NFL Free Agency in Review (Pt 1 of 4)

The Good Signings

1) Ryan Clark, Safety, Pittsburgh Steelers (Resigned 4 years $17MM)
Some may call this a surprising move considering the how the Steelers often allow veterans to leave their franchise rather than give them pricey extensions late in their careers. However, those same people may forget that the Steelers had LaMarr Woodley and Lawrence Timmons ready to replace Joey Porter and Larry Foote when they began to show their age. In the case of Clark, the Steelers this past season that they lack a promising successor to a very solid defender in Ryan Clark (as backup Tyrone Carter was continually exposed as the Steelers’ pass defense crumbled down the stretch). This is also a solid signing as Clark is a very consistent producer, which is a staple of the Pittsburgh defense; and because of the relatively low cost which Clark signed for seeing as similarly talented and 2.5 year younger FS Antrele Rolle signed for $18 MM more for only 1 extra season. With Clark signed it allows Pittsburgh to focus on more pressing issues such as their inconsistent offensive line, or porous cornerback situation.
2) Leigh Bodden, Cornerback, New England Patriots (Resigned 4 years, $22MM, $10MM Guaranteed)
Bodden went from small school prospect to high level corner when he sprung onto the scene in 2007 with 6 interceptions and some classic ESPN interview clips responding to the insanity that is Chad Johnson. However, after his emergence, Bodden began to make some contractually related noise and was subsequently traded to Detroit where he quickly fizzled out, only to find himself as the top corner in New England. Bodden proved once again that he is a high talent Corner by racking up 5 interceptions last season earning himself a big pay day in the process. However at the age of 28, and with a play style which hinges on physicality and instincts aside from blazing speed; Bodden may have enough solid seasons ahead of him to play out this contract. Furthermore, the contract which he signed is very inexpensive considering both his solid past, and quality recent production levels. It is a major win for New England as their top corner spot has been in flux since the loss of Asante Samuel to the Eagles.
3) Vince Wilfork, Nose Tackle, New England Patriots (Resigned 5 years, $40MM, $18MM signing bonus, $25MM guaranteed)
While this signing seems like it may be a bit on the pricey side, there is no doubting the value of Vince Wilfork to the New England Patriots. Many say the most important part of a 3-4 defense is the nose tackle, and Wilfork has proven himself to be one of the best every season since being drafted out of Miami. His durability and consistency make him and outstanding candidate for an extension, as well as the fact that nose tackles have proven to be able to perform at a high level late into their careers (Jason Ferguson, Casey Hampton, Jamal Williams, Kelly Gregg).
4) Will Witherspoon, Outside Linebacker, Tennesee Titans (Signed 3 years, $11MM, $7MM guaranteed)
Witherspoon is built to be a Titan linebacker. He is undersized, speedy, able to cover tight ends/slot receivers while also a sure tackler. His fit is perfect, as well as his timing as the Titans are in need of an OLB ever since Pro-Bowler Keith Bullock tore up his knee and could suddenly realize/play his true age (if he is even resigned at all), and opposite OLB starter David Thorton also tore his ACL. Witherspoon will be a nice addition to an already solid Tampa 2 defense which the Titans are beginning to revamp.
5) Maake Kemoeato, Nose Tackle, Washington Redskins (Signed 2 years, $7MM)
This signing goes under the, “amazing….if” category. Kemoeato will be an amazing find for the Skins’…if his Achilles tendon is healed after a rupture and a subsequent botched surgery. The Redskins are switching to the 3-4 defense from the 4-3 however they lack a true nose tackle aside from $100 dollar man Albert Haynesworth who has already declared his dissatisfaction with the idea of being a nose tackle. At 6’5” 345lbs Kemoeatu is the ideal size for a gap plugging NT, and has always been a successful block eater rather than penetrating DT. If he becomes healthy and can solidify the heart of the Redskins’ defense, a $7MM contract is chump change, not to mention if he does not it will not cost Washington much to release him.

Honorable Mention: Considered honorable mention as they were not unrestricted free agent signings but acquired through other ways.
Matt Moore- 1st and 3rd round Restricted Free Agent 1 year tender
Moore proved his worth last season filling in for Delhomme going 3-1 and throwing 8 touchdowns and only 1 interception. This being the second time that Moore had more than adequately filled in for Delhomme, the Panthers finally gave in and decided that 2011 would be the season that the Oregon State product would get an extended look. The first and third round tender makes it simply improbable that another team would sign Moore away, while giving the Panthers a 1 season look at a potential franchise QB for a mere $3MM. The risk here is that Moore won’t work out and that the Panthers will have to continue their search next season, while the reward could possibly be fining a diamond franchise QB off of the scrap heap for cheap. 
Reggie Brown- Trade for a 6th round draft pick in the 2011 NFL Draft (Eagles to Buccaneers)
Brown has had a solid yet unspectacular career since being drafted in the second round out of the University of Georgia. He flashed solid potential in his first, second, and third seasons with 571, 816, and 780 receiving yards, however the past two seasons have been utter disappointment as injuries and inconsistency have often landed Brown on the inactive list. With size (6’1” 200lbs) and solid ability Brown is a great and cheap pick up for the Bucs as they look for weapons to help in the development of franchise QB Josh Freeman.

Stay tuned to the FSB for parts 2-5 of our analysis of the 2010 NFL Free Agency Period.  Pt 2 "The Bad Signings" will be online 3-17-2010 at 12:30PM PST!

Friday, February 26, 2010

NFL Mock Draft Version 3.0 (Round 3)


Stl- Colt McCoy, QB, Texas
Just in case the Rams don’t trade for Vick or Josh Johnson, McCoy brings a winning attitude and mobility to a Rams team in rebuilding mode.  While his weight in and measurement today left him a bit short (6’1” while listed at 6’2”), he still has high levels of intangibles and Drew Brees’ success to help float his sinking draft status.
Det- Jon Asamoah, OG, Illinois
Asamoah is a great value pick in the third round.  While he is a little undersized for the power run scheme that the Lions want to transition to, there is no questioning his understanding of schemes.                                     
TB- Brandon Lang, DE, Troy
Lang’s size and speed (6’4” 260 lbs) makes him a perfect Tampa 2 rush end, however his lack of durability makes the FSB nervous.  However, his upside is quite high and Tampa is in need of a pass rush after dealing the late Gaines Adams.                       
KC- Jordan Shipley, WR, Texas
Scott Pioli gets his Wes Welker as Shipley should fit nicely into the slot position of Todd Haley’s offense
Was- Forfeied in Compensatory Draft for DE Jeremy Jarmon
Oak- Joe McKnight, RB, USC
They constanty fall in love with physical ability, and while their runners are all have incredible potential McFadden is always hurt and hasn’t shown the big play ability and word on the street is that the Raider’s coaches are fed up with Michael Bush running out of gas whenever he gets on a roll.                                                               
Phi (Sea)- Amari Spievey, CB, Iowa
Quality depth behind already solid (but aging starters).  Spievey’s great size and experience (26 consecutive starts) make him a solid pick for a Seahawk secondary lacking depth, however his burst is questionable.            
Cle- Chad Jones, S, LSU
This truly is a steal.  The number one safety recruit coming out of high school, Chad Jones can flat out fly (as evident through him running down Darren Mcfadden from behind during his freshman year).
Buf- Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU
Lets’ be honest here, outside of Lee Evans the Bills lack any receiving threats which will help keep 8 out of the box for Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch.  LaFell has the size an ability to be a nice possession complinent Evans’ deep threat style.  Unfortunately for Buffalo, their Pick of James Hardy a couple seasons ago has seemed to not have panned out making LaFell an even better pick. 
Mia- Thaddeus Gibson, DE/OLB, Ohio State
The Dolphins will obviously release Joey Porter after March 5th as they tried to do it once already.  While Porter is old and expensive, he still brings somewhat of a threat for opposing OT’s to worry about so replacing him will be no walk in the park.  Gibson has the perfect size and style for a 3-4 OLB, and his production was deflated by playing out of position his senior year (DE instead of OLB as he played earlier in his career).        
Jax-  Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
Jack Del Rio’s constant comments about David Garrard not being a franchise QB will eventually lead to a front office move.  Luckily for the Jags, Tebow will at least bring some ticket sales to a franchise on the financial rocks.
Chi- Mike Williams, WR, Syracuse
If Mike Williams would have gotten his head on straight he could have been battling Dez Bryant for the #1 receiver spot in this draft.  However off field/character issues and questions to commitment have landed the Bears a potential diamond in round 3.
NYG- Vladimir Ducassee, OG, UMass
Ducassee is the definition of physical upside as his potential is through the roof; however his footwork and physical conditioning are the definition of unpolished.  In a couple years Vladimir could be a nice piece for the G-Men.
Ten- Dominique Franks, CB, Oklahoma
Cortland Finnegan is a shutdown corner, however outside of Finnegan the titans have no solid quality depth.  They are in such a bad position that they are making efforts to resign Rod Hood who they brought in mid way through the season and who had already been cut by multiple teams since the beginning of the season.  Franks has good size, and will fit well in Tennessee’s physical defensive style.
Car- Ed Dickson, TE, Oregon           
The Panthers need to alleviate some pressure from Steve Smith and Dickson can help in that department.  His blocking ability showed through at the Senior Bowl increasing his value from mostly a receiver to a balanced threat.
SF- Jason Worilds, DE/OLB
San Fran does not necessarily need another pass rusher as Lawson and Lenon can hold down the fort, but depth at this premium position is always a bonus.  Worilds has strong physical intangibles, and could be a solid NFL 3-4 OLB if developed correctly and stays healthy.  The main key is his health as he had significant issues staying on the field. 
Den- Taylor Price, WR, Ohio
Denver showed last season that Eddie Royal did not fit Josh McDaniel’s scheme as well as people expected and Price could be the man they are looking for to compliment Brandon Marshall (expecting that he stays in the blue and orange). 
Hou- Toby Gehart, RB, Stanford
They wanted a bruising goal line and short yardage runner didn’t they?  Team Gehart’s bowling ball style with Slaton’s quickness and you have a nasty tandem for years to come….if they can stay healthy.
Pit- Al Woods, NT, LSU
The Steelers always stockpile talent along their defensive line and Woods is a couple seasons away from being a contributor anyway. The resigning of Casey Hampton will give woods time to develop and get stronger while Hampton holds down the fort.
Atl- Dennis Pitta, TE, BYU 
Tony Gonzales wont be able to catch passes at an eliete level forever (ecen through he makes it seem possible).  Pitta can separate and has good hands which make him an nice recieving threat in the Matt Ryan lead offense.
Cin- Larry Asante, S, Nebraska
The drafting of Asante signals the end of the road for Roy Williams and his chronically breaking forearms.  Asante is solid enough that if asked to he could step in right away for the Bengals and contribute to an already top notch secondary. 
Oak (NE)- Dan LeFevour, QB, Central Michigan
The Raider’s will eventually understand that Russell is not the QB of the future for their franchise, unfortunately LeFevour will not be ready to step in and replace him for a couple seasons.
GB- Reshad Jones, S, Georgia
While the Packers are set at FS with Nick Collins (assuming they buck up and pay him the contract he demands),  they are seriously lacking in talent at the SS position (sorry Atari Bigbi).  Solid speed and size make Jones an intriguing prospect.    
Phi- Anthony Dixon, RB, Mississippi State
A nice physical compliment to the slashing LeSean McCoy, if he runs well at the combine this weekend Dixon could be taken  higher than this as he would have a unique blend of size and speed
 Bal- Jimmy Graham, TE, Miami
This draft is all about building around their franchise QB and getting younger on defense.  Flacco has no viable targets in the TE spot (Heap is always hurt, and LJ Smith is not any better in that area) and needs some assistance in order to alleviate pressure from both himself and Ray Rice.  Graham is intriguing as he is massive and has all the athleticism anyone could ask for, however he only played one season of college football as he was recruited as a basketball player to Miami.  It is also worth noting that he is a very intelligent student as he was named to the all-ACC academic team in 2006 and 2007 for basketball and is earning a double major.                     
Ari- Javier Arenas, CB, Alabama      
Bryant McFadden was not the franchise corner the Cardinals expected they were getting from the Steelers, while we don’t feel Arenas will be either, he could develop into a nice piece for this franchise
Dal- Mike Johnson, OG, Alabama
The Dallas offensive line is getting old in a hurry and Iupati could be converted to tackle instead of guard meaning that Dallas could use another interior lineman to prepare for the future. Johnson is a great value pick at this point and his size and power fits Dallas’ “run heavy” game well.
SD- Mike Neal DE/DT, Purdue
If last season showed the Bolts anything it is that their defensive front needs improving. Neal can play 3-4 DE at the next level and would be an upgrade over incumbent Jacques Cesaire if he develops properly.
Cle (NYJ)- Ben Tate, RB, Auburn
While the Browns have Jerome Harrison and James Davis to carry their backfield into the future, Harrison is small and James Davis missed his entire rookie season due to injury.  Tate has the size and speed to carry the load as a franchise back, only time will tell if he gets the chance.
Min- Jevan Snead, QB, Ole Miss
Snead has all the tools and there is no better way to hopefully unlock those tools than to surround him with incredible talent (Peterson, Rice, Berrian, Harvin, and a solid o-line)
Ind- Greg Hardy, DE, Ole Miss
If Indy can focus Hardy, he could potentially step in very soon and replace Mathis or Freeny.  Keep in mind Hardy is easily top 15 talent, but unfortunately has shown only a top 100 attitude.
NO- Myron Rolle, S, Florida State
If Rolle would not have pursued his Rhodes Scholar opportunity, he may have been a 2nd round pick last season showing his high upside.  His size and intelligence make him a high potential player; however passion for football and a year away from the sport make him a potential risk pick.  The Saints can’t lean on Sharper forever (maybe not even past the Super Bowl as Sharper may land somewhere else in free agency) and Rolle would be a nice replacement.

Thursday, February 25, 2010

NFL Mock Draft Version 3.0 (Rd2)

Stl- Maurikce Pouncey, C, Florida
Great value in the second round for the Rams as Pouncey can play both center and Guard
and combined with Jason Smith/Jason Brown makes a solid offensive base for the Rams
to build around.
Det- Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan
While Detroit has taken strides to improve on offense, their secondary corner position has been greatly ignored. Warren injects youth into an underachieving and aging weakness for the Lions.
TB- Navorro Bowman, OLB, Penn State
Bowman is the perfect Tampa 2 linebacker and while Quincy Black did an admirable job
filling in for the once great Derrick Brooks, Bowman can be the next Brooks if he
develops to his full potential.
KC- Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama
A 3-4 defense is only as good as its nose tackle, and as you could see by their performance last season Ron Edwards is not the answer. MT Cody brings massive size and surprising quickness to a defense desperately searching for an anchor.
Was- Brandon Spikes, ILB, Florida
Washington is switching to a 3-4 this upcoming season and while London Fletcher-Baker is solidified at one MLB spot, HB Blades lacks the instincts and intangibles to make up for his diminutive size like Fletcher-Baker does.
Cle- Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Brady Quinn loves his receiving tight ends (John Carlson, Kellen Winslow) and if Mike Holmgren is serious about giving Quinn 32 starts, he needs to give him the tools to succeed as well. Gresham brings soft hands and great size to an underperforming offense.
Oak- Everson Griffin, DE, USC
Griffin makes up for passing on a rush end in the first round as Richard Seymour and
Greg Ellis won’t last forever.
Sea- Taylor Mays, S, USC
Born and raised in Seattle while also being coached his entire career by Pete Carroll makes this pick a fit. Not to mention Seattle’s immediate need at SS (Deion Grant is good…but upgradable).
TB(Chi)- Golden Tate, WR
A franchise QB (Josh Freeman) requires weapons around him to improve. Unfortunately for Freeman, Michael Clayton and Maurice Stovall are nothing more than big bodies and solid run blockers. Tate will bring an element of explosiveness and consistency to an inconsistent offense.
Buf- Selvish Capers, OT
No matter who the QB is for Buffalo (Jimmy C, Trent Edwards, or other wards), they will need somebody to protect their backside. While Capers is not worthy of an immediate start, he is a potential upgrade over Jonathan Scott who was not even good enough to make it in Detroit.
Mia- Jon Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech
Ronnie Brown just suffered his second major knee injury, is a free agent, and the wheels will eventually fall off of Ricky Williams. Dwyer is a versatile big back with good feet and strong potential to be the wildcat/power back that the Tuna is searching for.
NE (Jax)- Aaron Hernandez, TE,Florida
Ben Watson was a let down during his tenure in New England and will most likely not be resigned. Hernandez is closer to being a big reciever than a blocking TE, which is exactly what the Patriots spread offense calls for.
Den- Lamaar Houston, DT/DE, Texas
Lamaar is a strong penetrating 3-4 DE which is a need for the Broncos as Kenny Peterson is old enough that he played football with Coach Josh McDaniels.
NYG- Sean Lee, ILB, Penn State
The Giants require a replacement for the recently released Antonio Pierce, Lee be an strong replacement for Pierce while also allowing for improved pass coverage and a more versatile linebacking core alongside Michael Boley and the high upside Clint Sintim.
NE (Ten)- Alex Carrington, DE, Arkansas State
Carrington will be a nice replacement for an aging Ty Warren or Jarvis Green.
Car- Dezmon Briscoe, WR, Kansas
Briscoe will be a great compliment to Steve Smith as his blend of size (6’2) speed (potential 4.4 40) and durability (did not miss a start in 3 years) will help solidify the #2 receiver position in Carolina.
SF- Jahvid Best, RB, Cal
Frank Gore is a franchise running back there is no doubt about that, but constant wear and tear are beginning to show as Gore seems to miss games each season. Also, Best (a local product) will bring a new explosive element to an already high potential offensive.
KC (Atl)- Rob Gronkowski, TE, Arizona
Leonard Pope/Sean Ryan is not the answer, and unfortunately for Matt Cassell, his offensive line does not always protect him enough for Dwayne Bowe to get open, Gronkowski can help alleviate the pressure on Cassell and open up the Chiefs offense.
Hou- Perrish Cox, CB, Oklahoma State
If Dunta Robinson cannot be brought back at a discount rate (as he is not going to be
franchised) the Texans will need a franchise corner to compliment their incredible
offense.
Pit- Chris Cook, CB, Virginia
If last season showed the Steelers anything it was that their corners cannot cause
Turnovers, Cook will help change this.
Cin- Anthony McCoy, TE, USC
Spiller in round 1 helps open up the offense, however as Carson Palmer’s arm strength seems to be decreasing with constant elbow injuries, an underneath target who can compensate for his mistakes could help stabilize the Bengal’s offense
NE- Dexter McCluster, RB, Ole Miss
The Patriots can always use more explosion in their offense, especially from their running game. McCluster could be the new and improved Kevin Faulk.
GB- Patrick Robinson, CB, Florida St
Charles Woodson is 33 years old and will eventually drop off in play and Tramon Williams needs a partner in crime in the secondary for the upcoming seasons.
Phi- Nate Allen, S, South Florida
Dawkins is not easily replicable, but Nate Allen and his incredible upside will give it a pretty good shot.
Bal- Corey Wooton, DE, Northwestern
Trevor Price, Dwan Edwards, and Justin Bannan are all on the wrong side of 30 and Wooton has a nonstop motor just like the Ravens love.
Ari- Tony Washington, OT, Abilene Christian
Even if Leinart is not the answer at QB, their eventual solution will need protection in order to stay upright and Mike Gandy is unlikely to be brought back. While not the most polished blocker, Washington has a high upside and has quick feet allowing him to be a strong fit in Arizona’s pass happy offense.
Dal- Mardy Gilyard, WR, Cincinatti
While there is no solution to the Roy Williams contract debacle, Gilyard will be a nice replacement for an aging Patrick Creighton in the slot and as a returner.
SD- Damian Williams, WR, USC
While the chargers do not need another receiver, they are a team without an incredible
glaring need (as Tomlinson has been replaced with Ryan Matthews). Williams will allow
the chargers an underneath receiving presence outside of Antonio Gates, and negotiating
power in Malcolm Floyd’s contract.
NYJ- Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech
Thomas is a physical freak of nature who was reportedly running sub 4.4 40 yard dashes
before he fractured his foot training for the combine. Had he been in an offense which
had a semblance of a passing game who knows where Thomas would have gone.
unfortunately for the Jets, Thomas will need time to learn more routs but his physical
talents are undeniable.
Min- Cam Thomas, DT, UNC
The Williams wall will only last so long (especially since Pat Williams just announced he
Will reture once his contract expires at the end of the season) and Cam Thomas (6’4”,
331lbs) is an ideal fill in for Pat.
Ind- Eldwin Veldheer, OT, Hillsdale
Tony Ugoh does not seem to be the answer at LT and Charlie Johnson may be a one year flash in the pan. Veldheer offers long term upside and more run blocking potential then either of the current Colt OT’s.
NO- Tyson Alaulau, DT/DE, Cal
Remi Ayodel was an adequate starter for the champion Saints this past season, but Alaulau is an upgrade and the Saints should be doing everything they can to maximize the production and potential of franchise DT Sedrick Ellis.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

NFL Mock Draft Version 3.0

NFL Mock Draft RD 1
Stl- Ndamukong Suh , DT, Nebraska 
They need a Franchise QB, but with none available, they take another premiere DT prospect.
Det- Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
Jim Schwartz adds a pass rushing DT to 4-3. Another option is a left tackle to protect Stafford.
TB- Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
While it is evident that Tampa is looking to snag either McCoy or Suh to be the penetrating DT their scheme loves, Eric Berry has unlimited potential as a playmaker and is a great pick at 3.
Was- Sam Bradford, QB                   
Jason Campbell isn’t a convincing starter to impatient Redskins fans, Shanahan gets his franchise QB.
KC- Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St.        
The Chiefs are impatient with the development of Brendon Albert, and want to protect their franchise QB investment now.                     
Sea- Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
Walter Jones is either retiring or close to it and Sean Locklear is a joke…this is a must for the health of any Seahawk QB
Cle- Jason Pierre Paul, DE , South Florida
JPP’s athletic ability is unbelievable, check out his amazing 16 consecutive back flips on YouTube.
Oak- Bruce Campbell, OT
If Al Davis is dead set on having Russell as his QB he should be set on protecting him as well.  Campbell is the most Raider like pick with his high athletic upside and unpolished techniques.                                       
Buf- Jimmy Claussen, QB     
Buffalo needs stronger QB play, and Claussen would bring some more excitement/ intrigue to the team if T.O. leaves.
Jax- Derrick Morgan, DE, Geogia Tech
A team that lacked any pass rush gets a guy with low athletic upside but a never-ending motor and good leverage/quickness to pressure Peyton Manning.                   
Den (Chi)- Dan Williams, NT                                      
Denver reaches to get a nose tackle to anchor their 3-4 defense.
Mia- Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
Parcells loves the linebacker, from Willie McGinnest to Bobby Carpenter, the Tuna picks em’ in the first wherever he goes. McClain may be the best of them all because of his athletic upside.
SF (Car)- Trent Williams, RT 
The Line could be improved on the team that ranks 30th in yards a game, and 28th in points per game.  Adam Snyder is not the answer at RT.
Sea (Den)- Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Kelly Jennings is a FA and unlikely to be back, and Josh Wilson is 5’9” standing on a phone book.  Hayden is solid and gives the hawks a solid 1-3 corner set
NYG- Sergio Kindle, DE/OLB
Kindle will help perk up a pass rush on a team where Osi wants out and Kiwi showing himself to be a solid but unspectacular compliment to Justin Tuck.
Ten- Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida       
If Dunlap ever gets his head on straight and finds a consistent motor, he could be a dominant 4-3 end, something Tennesee has not had for a long time. 
SF- Kareem Jackson, CB Alabama
Cover corners are always in high demand, especially for a team which leans on aging veteran Walt Harris, and steadily declining Nate Clements for shut down production.
Pit- Brian Bulaga. OT
Doesn’t it seem that they always need an offensive line upgrade?
Atl- Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
Atlanta’s Pass defense was awful, and Brent Grimes is not the answer.  Kyle Wilson is a small school prospect with amazing upside at the next level.
Hou- Earl Thomas, S, Texas  
A home grown product with abilities among the elite, Thomas is both a local favorite and fills a gigantic void alongside last season’s surprise in Bernard Pollard.
Cin- C.J. Spiller, RB              
Explosion alongside of Benson’s consistency and OchoCinco’s mouth ?  this could be an interesting Bengals offense.                      
NE- Dez Bryant, WR            
Moss is not getting any younger and Dez Bryant is a physical freak worth investing in.
GB- Charles Brown, OT, USC
Aaron Rogers has seen quite enough of opposing pass rushers on top of him…Brown will help stabilize an underpreforming Packer o-line
Phi- Brandon Graham, DE    
They sure do love a good pass rusher dont they.                               
Bal- Arrelouis Benn, WR, Illinois
Baltimore needs a #1 receiver to help the development of Joe Flacco.
Ari- Ricky Sapp, DE/OLB
Berry has retired, Dansby is a FA, and Okefor is old…don’t forget that Sapp has amazing upside as a 3-4 OLB.
Dal- Mike Iupati, G/ T           
That Dallas offensive line always seems to love getting bigger…Iupati is big, athletic, and has the potential of a Leonard Davis.
SD- Ryan Matthews, RB
LT is gone and Sporles isn’t an every down back and it’d be a waste to franchise him with Merriman pending free agency.
NYJ- Brian Price, DT/DE, UCLA                 
Marques Douglas is upgradable for sure and Rex Ryan could always use another defensive presence.
Min- Devin McCourty, CB
Cedric Griffin tore his ACL late in the season, and Antoine Winfield is pushing 30, you do the math.
Ind- Jared Odrick, DT/DE , Penn State
Odrick would be a high motor penetrating DT for an efficient Indy front
NO- Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Mizzou
Perfect size, speed, and leadership qualities to pair alongside of Vilma, Fujita and Shanle are solid, but Spoon could be spectacular.

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

The NFL’s Future Powerhouses: Pt 3

The Oakland Raiders
Yes, Yes I know this seems like quite a reach and shock to all FSB readers, but keep in mind, this article is assessing the brightness of the future of these franchises; it says nothing about being great at the moment. Keep an open mind while reading this article and you will understand how, if managed and coached correctly (which is understandably a large IF considering their current ownership/GM/lord in Al Davis), the Raiders could potentially be a contender in the NFL again relatively soon.

Because of the mass of negative media coverage surrounding the Oakland Raiders and their poor play, people seem to forget that their defense showed potential throughout the last season. While their rush defense was notably poor allowing 155.5 yards per game on the ground (good for 29th out of 32 in the league), their pass defense was a very impressive 7th overall in the NFL allowing a total of 206 yards per game through the air. While same say that this statistic is inflated due to the lack of ability to stop the run, I say it is a combination of that as well as the talent which the Raiders hold in their secondary.
Let us begin with the increasingly recognizable CB, Nnamdi Asomugha. Fortunately for the Raiders, Asomugha is a rare blend of speed and physicality which allows him to be one of not only the most complete, but also top overall corners in the NFL (I dare say the most complete corner before the incredible emergence of Darrell Revis last season). While Nnamdi is an incredible first round pick out of Cal, 30 year old Chris Johnson out of Louisville was equally impressive opposite Asomugha last season and was considered by some as a borderline Pro Bowl snub because of his high level of play. While the age of 30 is not exactly young for a corner, the Raiders have invested decently well in a stockpile of young speedy talent who have high upside such as 26 year old Stanford Routt and 24 year old John Holland out of Louisiana Tech.

On top of their dynamic corner tandem, the Raiders possess a nice group of young safeties at their disposal. At the FS slot the raiders rotate hard hitting Hiram Eugene and center fielder Michael Huff, while neither has been incredible, Huff showed his first round potential this past season with 59 tkls and 3 ints in a reserve safety role. However it is the SS position where the Raiders are well off as former CB Tyvon Branch out of UConn emerged last season as a top level safety. His season which included 124 tackles, 1 sack, 2ffs, and 8 passes defended showed nothing short of a miraculous transition from corner to safety. The Raiders really hit on this guy with the 100th pick in the draft, his blend of size and speed made him an incredible corner, however his inability to consistently stay square in man to make coverage forced his transition to what has ended up being his top position.

While the secondary traditionally is defined as corners and safeties, the Raider’s young linebacking tandem of Thomas Howard and Kirk Morrison are so strong in coverage, that they must be placed into the secondary category. Howard (26 years old) logged 6 interceptions just one season ago and his elite speed for a linebacker (4.49 40 yard dash in the combine) allows him serious upside coverage. Morrison, while not quite as savvy in space as Howard, logged a 4 INT season just 2 seasons ago, and this year was not so shabby as he led the Raiders with 133 tackles, 2 sacks, and 3 forced fumbles. Both of these linebackers offer high ceiling over their already high playing levels, however it will be up to the Raiders to realize this potential and to help them achieve this as I have already seen reports that the Raiders may allow Morrison to go free soon (As the disclaimer above stated, I am simply speaking on the talent which the Raiders possess, however I cannot speak to the ability of Al Davis to realize that talent and keep a hold of it).

While the Raiders have unlimited upside on the defensive side of the ball, their offensive side is where they have the most work to do. Their offensive line is in shambles as only Mario Henderson (LT) and Samson Satele are the only linemen offer any long-term potential. However Henderson lacks the footwork to become a viable LT, and Satele was released just the past season from the Dolphins because of his inability to move defenders off the ball in the run game. The Raiders do however offer extremely high potential in their impressive stable of halfbacks. Michael Bush and Darren McFadden are seemingly household names because of their famed collegiate careers, and Justin Fargas is gaining ground through his strong play during the past two seasons. While I feel Fargas will eventually be the odd man out of this trio because of this age (30 years old), Michael Bush’s incredible blend of size and speed make his ceiling limitless, and McFadden’s collegiate playmaking abilities make him a threat to hit a homerun with each touch he is given (if he ever unlocks it).

The Raider’s last positions of high upside are their TE and WR spots. TE Zach Miller out of Arizona State has displayed serious ability in the short to intermediate game and occasional deep ball, as shown by his leading the Raiders in receiving with 66 catches for 805 yards and 3 tds. His blend of average blocking but consistency as a receiver reminds us at the FSB of his fellow Sun Devil, Todd Heap who fits the bill as a top notch tight end (who has had his career unfortunately derailed by constant injuries). At the WR position, the Raiders have high upside in Louis Murphy, Chaz Schilens, and in PR/KR Johnny Lee-Higgins. Murphy continually flashed in the pre-season as a rookie to watch last season, and throughout the regular season he did not disappoint as he hauled in 34 balls for 521 yards and 4 tds, with his best game coming against the Pittsburg Steelers to the tune of 4 rec for 128 yds and 2 tds. Schilens, the consensus number 1 receiver going into the last season was slowed by injury holding him to only 8 games, however he made a strong case to keep his position as he closed the season strong with 12 rec and 163 yards in the final two games of the season. In conclusion, the Raiders offer seriously high potential to whoever looks deep enough into their depth chart. If the described potential is ever unlocked, and a few critical pieces are added (mainly a QB and D/O line pieces) to the puzzle, the Oakland Raiders could be a force to be reckoned with for seasons to come.